'Buffett really was not a great stock picker': Financial researcher Larry Swedroe on how investors can emulate the billionaire investor (2024)

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'Buffett really was not a great stock picker': Financial researcher Larry Swedroe on how investors can emulate the billionaire investor (1)

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Did Buffett have it easier? Why markets will never be the same

Larry Swedroe, who is considered one of the market's most esteemed researchers, thinks Warren Buffett's investment style doesn't work well anymore.

He cites the number of professional Wall Street firms and hedge funds now participating in the market.

"Warren Buffett was generally considered the greatest stock picker of all time. And, what we have learned in the academic research is Warren Buffett really was not a great stock picker at all," Swedroe told CNBC's "ETF Edge" this week. "What Warren Buffett's 'secret sauce' was, he figured out 50, 60 years before all the academics what these factors were that allowed you to earn excess returns."

Swedroe indicated index funds can help investors trying to mimic Buffett's performance.

"[Investor] Cliff Asness and the team at AQR did some great research and showed that what you accounted for the leverage Buffett applied through his reinsurance company. If you bought an index of stocks that had these same characteristics, you would have matched Buffett's returns virtually," said Swedroe. "Now today, every investor can own through ETFs or mutual funds the same types of stocks that Buffett has bought through companies that apply this academic research — companies like Dimensional, AQR, Bridgeway, BlackRock, Alpha Architect and a few others."

Swedroe is the author and co-author of almost 20 books — including "Enrich Your Future - The Keys to Successful Investing" released in February.

In an email to CNBC, he called it "a collection of stories and analogies ... that help investors understand how markets really work, how prices are set, why it is so hard to persistently outperform through active management [stock picking and market timing,] and how human nature leads us to make investment mistakes [and how to avoid them]."

During his "ETF Edge" interview,' Swedroe added investors can also benefit from momentum trading. He contends market timing and stock picking often don't factor into long-term success.

"Momentum certainly is a factor that has worked over the long term, although it does go through some long periods like everything else will underperform. But momentum does work," said Swedroe, who's also the head of economic and financial research at Buckingham Wealth Partners. "It's purely systematic. Computers can run it, you don't need to pay big fees and you can access it with cheap momentum."

In his latest book, Swedroelikens the stock market to sports betting and active managers to bookies. He suggests more investors "play" —or invest — the more likely they are to underperform.

"Wall Street needs you to trade a lot so they can make a lot of money on bid offer spreads. Active managers make more money by getting you to believe that they're likely to outperform," said Swedroe. "It's virtually impossible mathematically for that to happen because they just have higher expenses including higher taxes. They just need you to play, and so, you know, that's why they tell you active management's a winner's game."

'Dumb retail money'

He sees active management getting more efficient in pulling in emotional investors – which he calls "dumb retail money."

"[Emotional investors] do so poorly [that] they underperform the very funds they invest in because they get stock picking wrong and market timing wrong," Swedroe said.

'Buffett really was not a great stock picker': Financial researcher Larry Swedroe on how investors can emulate the billionaire investor (2024)

FAQs

Who is the most successful stock picker? ›

He cites the number of professional Wall Street firms and hedge funds now participating in the market. “Warren Buffett was generally considered the greatest stock picker of all time.

How to become great investor like Warren Buffett? ›

8 ways to invest like Warren Buffett
  1. Remember that stocks are businesses. ...
  2. Buy with a margin of safety. ...
  3. Ignore stock market predictions. ...
  4. Identify quality businesses with strong returns on capital. ...
  5. Look for competitive advantages. ...
  6. Stay within your circle of competence. ...
  7. Concentrate your investments in your best ideas.
May 2, 2024

How did Warren Buffet learn how do you invest? ›

Key Takeaways. Warren Buffett started investing at a young age, buying his first stock at age 11 and his first real estate investment at age 14. Buffett studied under the legendary value investor Benjamin Graham while pursuing a business degree at Columbia University (Harvard had rejected him).

How to get rich according to Warren Buffett? ›

I'm a Self-Made Millionaire: 6 Warren Buffett Rules That Can Make You Rich
  1. Never Rely on Only One Income Source. ...
  2. Focus on Investments That Contribute to Positive Cash Flow. ...
  3. Learn as Much as You Can. ...
  4. Invest In Yourself. ...
  5. Shift Your Perspective About Money. ...
  6. Be Frugal Even While Building Wealth. ...
  7. Bottom Line.
Apr 17, 2024

What stock broker do millionaires use? ›

A prime brokerage

Large financial firms, including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, offer prime brokerages. The minimum amount a client must have to use a prime broker is $500,000, though it's not uncommon for clients to have $50 million in assets.

Who is the number one investor in the world? ›

Warren Buffett is widely considered the greatest investor in the world. Born in 1930 in Omaha, Nebraska, Buffett began investing at a young age and became the chairman and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, one of the world's largest and most successful investment firms.

What is Warren Buffett's IQ? ›

Warren Buffett reportedly has an IQ of over 150 (anything past 140 is considered a genius), and while it has, no doubt, helped him become one of the world's richest men, the lesson here is to value emotional intelligence (EQ) just as highly.

How does Warren Buffett stay rich? ›

His fortune is largely tied to his investment company.

The vast majority of Buffett's net worth is tied to Berkshire Hathaway, his publicly traded conglomerate that owns businesses like Geico and See's Candies and holds multibillion-dollar stakes in companies like Apple and Coca-Cola.

What did Warren Buffett tell his wife to invest in? ›

Buffett said he revises his will every three years, and he still advises his wife to allocate 10% of her inheritance to short-term government bonds and 90% to a low-cost S&P 500 index fund.

What kind of car does Warren Buffett drive? ›

Despite being the sixth-richest person globally, Warren Buffett continues to drive a 2014 Cadillac XTS he purchased with hail damage. Although he can afford any luxury vehicle, Buffett prefers the practicality of his 10-year-old car.

What does Buffett read every day? ›

So Buffett says he reads around 5-6 hours daily, including newspapers, magazines, 10Ks, annual reports, and biographies. For Buffett, reading is priority number one. While most executives focus on networking or analyzing financials, Buffett dedicates the majority of his workday to reading.

At what age did Warren Buffett become a billionaire? ›

In 1986, at age 56, Buffett's net worth had grown to the point where he became a billionaire. This achievement was particularly notable given that he was earning a modest salary of $50,000 from Berkshire Hathaway Inc. By the time he was nearing 60, his net worth had increased to $3.8 billion​​.

What is the most successful stock predictor? ›

1. AltIndex – Overall Most Accurate Stock Predictor with Claimed 72% Win Rate. From our research, AltIndex is the most accurate stock predictor to consider today. Unlike other predictor services, AltIndex doesn't rely on manual research or analysis.

Who is the world most successful stock trader? ›

Top 10 Greatest Traders of All Time
  1. George Soros. George Soros, aka "the man who broke the Bank of England," was born a Jew in Hungary in 1930, survived the Holocaust, and fled the country then. ...
  2. Jesse Livermore. ...
  3. William Delbert Gann. ...
  4. Paul Tudor Jones. ...
  5. Jim Rogers. ...
  6. Richard Dennis. ...
  7. John Paulson. ...
  8. Steven Cohen.
May 22, 2024

Who is the most successful person in the stock market? ›

Warren Buffett is often considered the world's best investor of modern times. Buffett started investing at a young age, and was influenced by Benjamin Graham's value investing philosophy.

Who is the most successful stock analyst? ›

TipRanks used its Experts Center tool to identify the top ten analysts who have a high success rate, defying the general market trend and outperforming their peers. Mark Lipacis ranks No. 1 out of the 8,371 analysts tracked on TipRanks.

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