Fibonacci Trading in Forex (2024)

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We will be using Fibonacci ratios a lot in our trading so you better learn it and love it like your mother’s home cooking.

Fibonacci is a huge subject and there are many different Fibonacci studies with weird-sounding names but we’re going to stick to two: retracement and extension.

Let us first start by introducing you to the Fib man himself…Leonardo Fibonacci.

Fibonacci Trading in Forex (1)

No, Leonardo Fibonacci isn’t some famous chef. Actually, he was a famous Italian mathematician, also known as a super-duper uber ultra geek.

He had an “Aha!” moment when he discovered a simple series of numbers that created ratios describing the natural proportions of things in the universe.

The ratios arise from the following number series: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144…

This series of numbers is derived by starting with 0 followed by 1 and then adding 0 + 1 to get 1, the third number.

Then, adding the second and third numbers (1 + 1) to get 2, the fourth number, and so on.

After the first few numbers in the sequence, if you measure the ratio of any number to the succeeding higher number, you get .618.

For example, 34 divided by 55 equals .618.

If you measure the ratio between alternate numbers you get .382.

For example, 34 divided by 89 = 0.382 .

You have now just experienced the Fibonacci Sequence!

Fibonacci Trading in Forex (2)

Fibonacci Sequence

AFibonacci sequenceis formed by taking 2 numbers, any 2 numbers, and adding them together to form a third number.

Then the second and third numbers are added again to form the fourth number.

And you can continue this until it’s not fun anymore.

The ratio of the last number over the second-to-the-last number is approximately equal to 1.618.

This ratio can be found in many natural objects, so this ratio is called thegolden ratio.

It appears many times in geometry, art, architecture, and even on Sonic the Hedgehog.

Fibonacci Trading in Forex (3)

The golden ratio is actually an irrational number, like pi, and is often denoted by the Greek letter,phi(φ).

Okay, that’s enough mumbo jumbo.

With all those numbers, you could put an elephant to sleep. We’ll just cut to the chase; these are the ratios you HAVE to know:

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

0.236, 0.382, 0.618, 0.764

Fibonacci Extension Levels

0, 0.382, 0.618, 1.000, 1.382, 1.618

You won’t really need to know how to calculate all of this. Your charting software will do all the work for you.

However, it’s always good to be familiar with the basic theory behind the indicator so you’ll have the knowledge to impress your date.

Fibonacci retracement levels work on the theory that after a big price moves in one direction, the price will retrace or return partway back to a previous price level before resuming in the original direction.

Traders use the Fibonacci retracement levels as potential support and resistance areas.

Since so many traders watch these same levels and place buy and sell orders on them to enter trades or place stops, the support and resistance levels tend to become a self-fulfilling prophecy.

Traders use the Fibonacci extension levels as profit-taking levels.

Again, since so many traders are watching these levels to place buy and sell orders to take profits, this tool tends to work more often than not due to self-fulfilling expectations.

Most charting software includes both Fibonacci retracement levels and extension level tools.

In order to apply Fibonacci levels to your charts, you’ll need to identify Swing High and Swing Low points.

A Swing High is a candlestick with at least two lower highs on both the left and right of itself.

A Swing Low is a candlestick with at least two higher lows on both the left and right of itself.

You got all that? Don’t worry, we’ll explain retracements, extensions, and most importantly, how to grab some pips using the Fibonacci tool in the followinglessons.

Fibonacci Trading in Forex (2024)

FAQs

How reliable is Fibonacci in forex? ›

Some experts believe that Fibonacci retracements can forecast about 70% of market movements, especially when a specific price point is predicted.

Do professional traders use Fibonacci? ›

This is one of the most used indicators in technical analysis, which even professional traders cannot afford to use. In this article, we will tell you how to use the Fibonacci retracement to increase your chances of making a profit in trading.

What is the success rate of Fibonacci? ›

Our Fibonacci Testing Results
Fibonacci LevelsSuccess Rate
61.821%
10016%
Overall37%
Failure Rate63%
3 more rows
May 4, 2024

Is Fibonacci a good trading strategy? ›

That said, many traders find success using Fibonacci ratios and retracements to place transactions within long-term price trends. Fibonacci retracement can become even more powerful when used in conjunction with other indicators or technical signals.

What is the most accurate indicator for forex? ›

Top 10 forex indicators for FX traders
  • Average true range (ATR)
  • Moving average convergence/divergence (MACD)
  • Fibonacci retracements.
  • Relative strength index (RSI)
  • Pivot point.
  • Stochastic.
  • Parabolic SAR.
  • Ichimoku Cloud.

What is the best timeframe to trade Fibonacci? ›

22.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8% and 78.6% are the most popular and officially used retracement levels. The best time frame to identify Fibonacci retracements is a 30-to-60-minute candlestick chart, as it allows you to focus on the daily market swings at regular intervals.

What are the strongest Fibonacci levels? ›

The ratios form the support or resistance levels in Fibonacci Retracement analysis. The important levels are 61.8% (an-1 / an), 38.2% (an-2 / an), and 23.6% (an-3 / an).

Can Fibonacci be used for scalping? ›

As so many traders use Fibonacci levels as part of their strategies, a lot of price activity happens at these levels, which can create the ideal conditions for scalping Fibonacci levels.

What are the disadvantages of Fibonacci? ›

A disadvantage is that due to buildup of entropy/debt as described above, the actual cost of a given call could be as much as O(n). Another disadvantage of the Fibonacci heap is that it uses more memory per element than alternatives like binary heap.

How to use Fibonacci in forex? ›

The idea is to go long (or buy) on a retracement at a Fibonacci support level when the market is trending UP. And to go short (or sell) on a retracement at a Fibonacci resistance level when the market is trending DOWN.

How fast does Fibonacci grow? ›

, this means that the Fibonacci numbers appear to increase exponentially, with a multiplication factor of about 1.618033989.

Is Fibonacci a lagging indicator? ›

Is a Fibonacci Channel a Leading or Lagging Indicator? A Fibonacci channel is a technical tool used by traders to analyze support and resistance levels, where a trend pause or reversal might be likely to occur. Because it is used to predict future movement of trends, it can be considered a leading indicator.

Which strategy is best for trading? ›

Best trading strategies
  • Trend trading.
  • Range trading.
  • Breakout trading.
  • Reversal trading.
  • Gap trading.
  • Pairs trading.
  • Arbitrage.
  • Momentum trading.

What is the golden zone in Fibonacci? ›

What is the Fibonacci Golden Zone? The Fibonacci Golden Zone specifically refers to a key area on a price chart calculated using Fibonacci ratios – primarily the 61.8% and 50% levels.

What is the winning rate in the Fibonacci strategy? ›

Fibonacci retracement is a technical analysis tool that uses horizontal lines to indicate areas of support or resistance at the key Fibonacci levels before the price continues in the original direction. The most commonly used Fibonacci retracement levels are 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%.

Are Fibonacci extensions accurate? ›

Not always accurate: Like any other technical analysis tool, Fibonacci extensions are not always accurate, and the price may not follow the projected extension levels.

How powerful is Fibonacci retracement? ›

Fibonacci retracement levels such as 61.8%, 38.2%, and 23.6% act as a potential level upto which a stock can correct. By plotting the Fibonacci retracement levels, the trader can identify these retracement levels, and therefore position himself for an opportunity to enter the trade.

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