Risks Involved in Futures Contracts (2024)

Futures trading is inherently risky and requires that participants, especially brokers, are not only familiar will all the risks but also possess the skills to manage those risks. Following are the risks associated with trading futures contracts:

  1. Leverage

    One of the chief risks associated with futures trading comes from the inherent feature of leverage. Lack of respect for leverage and the risks associated with it is often the most common cause for losses in futures trading. Exchange sets margins at levels which are deemed appropriate for managing risks at clearinghouse level. This is the minimum level of margins required by the exchange and provides maximum leverage. For example, if the initial margin for gold is 2.5%, it implied 40 times leverage. In other words, a trader can take a position equivalent to Rs. 100,000 by only depositing Rs. 2,500 in his or her account. Clearly, this represents great amount of leverage which is defined as the ability to take large exposures with little upfront cost.

  2. Interest Rate Risk

    The risk that an investment's value will change due to a change in the absolute level of interest rates. Normally, rise in interest rates during the investment period may result in reduced prices of the held securities.

  3. LiquidityRisk

    Liquidity risk is an important factor in trading. Level of liquidity in a contract can impact the decision to trade or not. Even if a trader arrives at a strong trading view, he may not be able to execute the strategy due to lack of liquidity. There may not be enough opposite interest in the market at the right price to initiate a trade. Even if a trade is executed, there is always a risk that it can become difficult or costly to exit from positions in illiquid contracts.

  4. Settlement and Delivery Risk

    All executed trades need to be settled and closed at some point. Daily settlement takes the form of automatic debits and credits between accounts with any shortfalls being recovered through margin calls. Brokers are obligated to fulfill all margin calls. Use of electronic systems with online banking has reduced the risks of failed daily settlements. However, non-payment of margin calls by clients poses a serious risk for brokers.

    In cases where clients fail to pay margin calls, brokers need to be proactive and take steps to close out positions. Managing risks of client non-payment is an internal broker function that should be done in real-time. Delayed response to client delinquency can result in the creating losses for brokers if not default.

    Similarly, the risk of non-delivery is substantial for physically delivered contracts. Brokers need to ensure that they allow only those clients access to trade deliverable contracts till maturity who have the capacity and ability to make good on delivery obligations.

  5. Operational Risk

    Operational risk is a major source of losses for brokers as well as investor complaints. Errors due to manual mistakes by staff are a major area of risk for all brokers. Measures like adequate staff training, supervision, internal controls, and documentation of standard operating procedures and segregation of tasks are essential for running a brokerage house as well as for reducing instances and impact of operational risks.

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Risks Involved in Futures Contracts (2024)

FAQs

Risks Involved in Futures Contracts? ›

Selling options on futures can be extremely risky, especially if the position is unhedged (i.e. a naked short option position). Sellers face potentially substantial losses if the market moves against their position.

What are the risks of futures options? ›

Selling options on futures can be extremely risky, especially if the position is unhedged (i.e. a naked short option position). Sellers face potentially substantial losses if the market moves against their position.

What are the problems with futures contracts? ›

Expiration risk: Futures contracts have fixed expiration dates. If you don't close or roll over your position before expiry, you may face delivery obligations or cash settlement at an unfavourable price. Interest rate risk: Interest rate futures are sensitive to changes in interest rates.

Is investing in futures high risk? ›

A small price movement against a position may lead to substantial margin calls, potentially risking the entire investment. Volatility: Futures markets are inherently volatile, subject to abrupt swings based on news events, economic data, and investor sentiment. This volatility demands a high tolerance for risk.

What are the risks involved in forward contracts? ›

Risks involved while trading in Forwards Include, liquidity risk, default risk, regulatory risk and lack of flexibility. The main areas of differences between Forwards and Futures lie in their contract terms, their default risk, regulation, initial margin and settlement.

What are the risks involved in futures contracts? ›

One of the simplest and commonest risks of futures trading is the price risk. For example, if you buy futures, you expect the price to go up. However, if the price goes down, you are at risk of loss. For futures traders, the biggest risks of futures trading come from the adverse movement of prices.

What is the basis risk of futures? ›

Basis risk is the risk that the futures price might not move in normal, steady correlation with the price of the underlying asset, and that this fluctuation in the basis may negate the effectiveness of a hedging strategy employed to minimize a trader's exposure to potential loss.

What are the cons of futures options? ›

However, trading options and futures is not without its risks. One of the most significant risks is the double-edged sword of leverage. While leverage can increase potential profits, it can also amplify losses.

How to manage risk in futures trading? ›

Risk management is crucial in futures trading to minimize losses and keep you trading. Fundamental principles of risk management include setting stop-loss orders and diversification. Risk management strategies involve position sizing, technical analysis, and monitoring market conditions.

What are the pros and cons of futures and forwards? ›

Differences Between Futures and Forwards
FuturesForwards
No counterparty risk, since payment is guaranteed by the exchange clearing houseCredit default risk, since it is privately negotiated, and fully dependent on the counterparty for payment
Actively tradedNon-transferrable
RegulatedNot regulated
2 more rows

Which is riskier futures or forward? ›

There is less oversight for forward contracts as privately negotiated, while futures are regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Forwards have more counterparty risk than futures.

Why buy futures instead of stocks? ›

When trading futures vs. stocks, there are no rules requiring a minimum account balance or restricting how many trades can be placed in a week. As a futures trader, you can trade long or short multiple times a day or week without worrying about day trading restrictions.

Can you lose more than you invest in futures? ›

Keep in mind speculating on futures can result in you losing more than your initial investment. Learn about the uses and risks of speculating with futures: "How to Speculate with Futures."

What are the advantages and disadvantages of futures contracts? ›

Future contracts have numerous advantages and disadvantages. The most prevalent benefits include simple pricing, high liquidity, and risk hedging. The primary disadvantages are having no influence over future events, price swings, and the possibility of asset price declines as the expiration date approaches.

What are the main contract risks? ›

The four most common types of contract risk are financial, legal, security, and brand risk. Given the importance of contracts for your organization, it's critical to understand these different risk types in your contract management processes and take the necessary steps to identify, assess, and mitigate them.

Who bears default risk in a forward contract? ›

In this case, the financial institution that originated the forward contract is exposed to a greater degree of risk in the event of default or non-settlement by the client than if the contract were marked-to-market regularly.

Which is riskier, futures or options? ›

Where futures and options are concerned, your level of tolerance of risk may be a contributing variable, but it's a given that futures are more risky than options. Even slight shifts that take place in the price of an underlying asset affect trading, more than that while trading in options.

Why do people lose money in futures and options? ›

Lack of a clear strategy: Futures and options trading requires a well-defined strategy. If investors do not have a clear plan, exit strategy, or risk management, they may make impulsive decisions that lead to losses.

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